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Saturday, September 22, 2007

Some investing principles

  • Investing
    • Ben graham says you don't have to do extraordinary things to do get extraordinary results. Keep it simple.
    • Give the kid a hammer n everything starts looking like a nail.
    • Don't own a stock that would cause you to panic and dump your shares if the price falls by 50%
    • Think 10 yrs rather than 10 minutes, if you cant hold the stock for a decade, don't buy it in the first place
    • Investing is where you find a few great companies and sit on your ass
    • Don't be contrarian for the sake of it
    • Better to hit singles n doubles regularly than to strike out swinging for the fences
    • Make a list of your top companies n the max prices u will be willing to pay for them. Wait on the sidelines for opportunities
    • Shun the ticker. Turn off the noise. Study the playing field n not the scoreboard. Ben graham says, "in the short run, mkt is a voting machine, but in the long run it is a weighting machine"
    • Don't swing at every pitch
    • Mistakes of commission are worse than mistakes of omission
      • Omission - missing a multibagger - discipline in action
      • Commission - investing in losers - reflects breakdown of discipline
    • Don't get distracted by macro issues, focus on what you know ie the workings of the business
    • Stay within ur circle of competence
    • Volatility - Mr market's dramatic mood swings creates opportunities .. look for those with significant margin of safety
    • Be greedy when others r fearful; be fearful when others r greedy
    • Read a lot

  • What to look for
    • If you don't understand a business don't buy it
    • Differentiate between a volatile stock and volatile business
    • Mkt caps r a measure of co's clout n borrowing power but cash in the door qtr after qtr matters more
    • Look for companies with favourable long term prospects run by honest n competent mgt
    • Look for a business that has been doing the same thing that it was doing a decade ago. Why
      • It had plenty of time to figure out how to get things right
      • Co. has likely found a niche
    • Look for economic franchises - cos which provide products
      • Needed or desired
      • Not overly capital intensive
      • Seen by its customers to have no close substitutes
      • No price regulation
    • Look for companies with moats - sustainable competitive advantages
    • Look for absence of change..old economy ..boring n mundane businesses
    • Concentrate - too much of a good thing is wonderful
    • If you are on the right flower, stay there. Avoid the temptations of hyperactivity
    • Evaluate the mgt
      • Frugal or spendthrift
      • Repurchases shares/ avoids dilution
      • Candid annual report
      • If the mgt claims to know the future, earnings projections n growth expectations - bad sign
      • If they hit the targets repeatedly - something is being manipulated

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